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Where do Mortgage Rates come from? What makes them go up??

What if I told you the Fed ISN'T raising mortgage rates? In FACT, when the Fed raises rates, often mortgage rates come DOWN? Do you know where rates come from and what makes them go up?

Market Update 07.15.25

Weekly Real Estate & Mortgage NEWS - 07.15.25✅ Move over Florida: Wyoming is the new retirement hotspot. (NMP) ✅ Fannie Mae chairman ‘encouraged’ by chatter Powell may consider quitting. (FHFA)  ✅ White House accuses Powell of mismanaging the Fed, citing renovation. (theHill)    Inflation, Interest Rates & What’s Ahead for Housing What the June CPI Report Means for You and Your BuyersThe June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report just dropped, and it's offering a clearer picture of where inflation—and possibly interest rates—are headed. While tariffs were expected to push prices higher on things like groceries, cars, and energy, the data shows inflation is still relatively stable.Here’s what you need to know, and what this could mean for the real estate market.Inflation is Easing—But Not EverywhereThe headline CPI rose 0.29% month-over-month and 2.67% year-over-year, a modest increase from 2.35% the previous month. Core CPI, which strips out food and energy, rose 0.23% for the month and 2.93% year-over-year—showing steady moderation.Notable highlights:New car prices increased just 0.2% over the past yearUsed car prices are down 0.7% month-over-month and up 2.8% year-over-yearFood prices rose only 0.3% for the month and 3.0% year-over-yearShelter—still the biggest driver of inflation—rose 3.80% year-over-year, down slightly from 3.86%, with both rent and owner’s equivalent rent easing modestly.What the Fed Might Do NextWith inflation cooling and economic pressure building, the Federal Reserve is increasingly positioned to consider rate cuts—possibly as early as this fall.What does that mean for your clients?Lower rates will improve affordabilityBuyer purchasing power will increaseDemand could pick up quickly when rates dropThis creates a window of opportunity for today's buyers that may close when the market shifts.What Realtors Should Know (and Share)Now may be the best moment for motivated buyers:Inventory is higherSellers are still flexibleMortgage rates remain elevated—but not for longWhen rates fall, competition is likely to return. Multiple offers, fewer concessions, and higher prices could follow.Talking Point for Your Clients“Inflation is cooling and rates may soon follow—but when they do, competition will heat up. Acting now could mean more negotiating power and less buyer pressure.”

My WHY – the reason why HOME is so important. And the reason I do what I do.

My passion for helping people own their own home runs deep... this is my story and WHY I do what I do. #liveislivedinahome

Reviews

"Tony is a cut above other mortgage brokers. When I have residential real estate clients I recommend they work with Tony because he understands the underpinnings of what makes the real estate market move financially, and he gives them in-depth insight into how and even why their loan product is a good fit for their needs. Tony's also who I call when new loan products hit the market since he's so in-tune with market shifts, both microscopic and seismic."

hunter brookshier

"Tony and his team are absolutely wonderful to work with. I recommend him."

daniel edstrom

"Tony and his team have been fantastic to work with, I would highly recommend them. I have bought several houses over the years, and this has been the by far the easiest transaction process ever."

don jeskey

"Talk about going above and beyond! Tony is an incredible resource and I'm glad to be working with him on the purchase of a new investment property. He knows the ins & outs of the mortgage industry and can help find the right product that fits your needs. If you're thinking about a mortgage or refinance, make sure you reach out to Tony today!"

doug moe

"Tony and his team will take care of you! Tony is by far the most professional mortgage broker that I have worked with. He and his team make sure to go the extra mile to make sure you have all the information you need to make smart market decisions regarding one of the most important transactions in your financial life. He regularly posts videos that help explain and educate his client base to make such choices. His assistant Lauren is also professional, knowledgeable and easy to contact if you have any questions. Their services are well worth every dollar spent. I won't go anywhere else."

steven rarig

"Cross Country mortgage consistently offers great customer service and a personal touch to their work!"

marcos villanueva

"If you are seeking an exceptional lender who is also an exceptional human, than Tony is your guy! The honesty and integrity part is there, but couple that with an outstanding knowledge of the mortgage and housing industry and you have yourself a ringer! He explains things for all to understand and guides you through every step of the process. Highly recommend!!"

misti wallis

"Tony was exceptionally helpful in my recent purchase of a house. He was helpful in walking me through the first time homebuyer experience - explaining the current state of the mortgage market and likely trends over the next few months. His local experience and long-time history in the local market was critical in getting our offer accepted in todays market - calling the sellers agent and vouching for our financial resources. He was able to get a property inspection waiver and save us both risk and cash by not requiring an appraisal. His team was able to close in 20 days after offer acceptance and closed on time. In the competitive market of today I dont see how you can be successful in winning offers with a slower online firm or credit union. His team was prompt and competant in reaching out and addressing any 'gotcha's' or errors during the underwriting and final approval process. His expertise doesnt come cheap and he is up front about that - the rates he offers will be higher than online vendors or credit unions; you are paying for service and speed. He was able to put me in touch with several excellent realtors in his network as well as an insurance broker who offered competitive homeowners insurance pricing."

daniel fuson

"This team is, in a word, fantastic. I have refinanced a significant number of homes over the years and Tony and his team go WAY above and beyond to communicate with you and make things happen in a timely manner. Lots of helpful tips along the way to get the best deal. You can definitely trust them to get it right. Visit Canon Beach! David Wheeler Owner, Harrison Loft Cannon Beach Vacasa.com"

david wheeler